Thursday, January 24, 2008

Republicans in Trouble

:) Don't let those cocky Republicans fool you. Under their calm exteriors, they are shaking in their boots/shoes. Here is an article from the Washington Post about the possible future for the GOP:

.....Florida remains a prime target for the Democrats in 2008, whoever their nominee turns out to be. Florida Republicans are braced for a general election battle that could see the Democrats winning here for the first time since Bill Clinton carried the state in his 1996 reelection....
.....Republicans can ill-afford to lose Florida in 2008. Virtually no realistic combination of states can get the Republicans to 270 electoral votes without Florida's 25. With Ohio leaning more Democratic than it was in 2004, the map becomes almost impossibly difficult unless Florida remains in the Republican column -- unless the party had a nominee who could carry states like New Jersey or Pennsylvania.
Democrats see Florida as an opportunity and a challenge, thanks to Bush's low approval ratings and demographic changes that are making the state more hospitable......

*** The Nation has even more about which party stands to lose in the November election:
....No matter what happens in the presidential race, Democrats are likely to finish 2008 in a stronger position than they started. Acknowledging the inevitable at the start of an election season in which their President's approval ratings are in the dumps and a nasty recession is taking shape, House and Senate Republicans are retiring at dramatically high rates. Open-seat contests across the country are ripe for partisan shifts in a year when voters tell pollsters they're inclined toward candidates with a D after their name. In addition, vulnerable Republican incumbents face stiff challenges. So it is that Democrats, who now hold a bare 51-to-49 majority in the Senate--relying uncomfortably on Connecticut Independent Joe Lieberman's tenuous allegiance to their causes--speak of picking up open Republican seats in Colorado, New Mexico and Virginia and of defeating Republican incumbents such as Minnesota's Norm Coleman and New Hampshire's John Sununu. And so House Democrats look to pad their thirty-one-seat majority, with good prospects of gaining seats GOP incumbents have abandoned in the recession-wary states of Ohio, Pennsylvania and New Jersey.....

Did you see that last sentence?
....And so House Democrats look to pad their thirty-one-seat majority, with good prospects of gaining seats GOP incumbents have abandoned in the recession-wary states of Ohio, Pennsylvania and New Jersey....
Very interesting!!!

> A new poll from MSNBC/McClatchey/Mason-Dixon gives us even more insight into the voters' preferences
in Florida (published in Alaska Report today):

A just released MSNBC/McClatchey/Mason Dixon poll shows Republican Rudy Giuliani's campaign is in serious trouble and heading for a crash next Tuesday....
Romney 30%
McCain 26%
Giuliani 18%
Huckabee 13 %

For more info, see the link.